Techcrunch40 Conference Coverage Session 1 : Search & Discovery

I’m at the TechCrunch40 conference right now and Michael Arrington & Jason Calacanis are kicking it off. I’ll be live blogging this event, starting with this long post – Techcrunch are also covering it. If you’re around, please say hi, and we’d love your poker chips (handed out to the best companies presenting in the DemoPit). Synthasite will be demo’ing tomorrow – and we’re very excited to be presenting!

Powerset

Powerset

The guys from Powerset take the floor. They are a natural language search engine that’s received a lot of international acclaim. They’ve just announced the launch of PowerSet Labs – a way to :

  • explore technology demos
  • share ideas
  • feed the learning engine
  • improve your search karma

Sounds exciting – and definitely leaning toward utilizing the knowledge that’s out there in the search industry. Here’s a YouTube video on Powerset:

They demo some really great search technology, which is not linked to keyword based searches, but instead, semantic mapping of concepts and themes.

Cognitive Code

Next up are the guys from Cognitive Code, who are an artificial intelligence company.

CognitiveCode

  • Practical, conversational artificial intelligence applications
  • Development platforms for context-sensitive ai apps

This is very interesting – stuff like out of space age movies like Star Trek. They are talking to a computer and asking it questions, and it is understanding the questions and replying – very impressive, but I’m not sure how much of it is prepared and how much of it is scripted. They claim that there are no scripts running, which if this is the case, then it’s very impressive. They are trying to embed Silvia into mobile devices, toys, web servers and custom electronics over the next few years. This stuff looks far too early stage for prime time, but that’s just my opinion.

Cast TV

CastTV

CastTV are up next. They’re a video search engine that indexes YouTube, Revver, and all the other video hosting sites. They are crawling and indexing videos from around the web. They aim to index every video on the web. They demo some comparative searches from Google & Yahoo, and compare with theirs, which has a far fresher index. Very interesting, again – not sure how much of this is pre-prepared.

Faroo

The next guy up is from Faroo, which is a P2P search engine. He starts out with a monologue tone and some fantastic claims of being able to index the entire Internet. Sounds very Dunning-Krugeresque to me. The concept is good, however, I’m not sure that these guys can pull it off, based on the presentation that he is giving. This is a really good example of how marketing is key – he speaks with a heavy swiss accent, and it’s difficult for me, and the rest of the audience to follow. I don’t think anyone understands him. Also, again, the idea is good, but I don’t think the implementation is done properly or with a large enough value proposition. He also claims to be able to save billions of dollars.

Viewdle

Viewdle

The guys from Viewdle start off with a nice presentation, which explains what they do. Basically, they index videos frame by fame, to capture people who are in the video, and keep and index of who is in a certain video. They allow you search for people and see which videos they appear in, by facial recognition. Very cool technology.

Q&A:

Chris Anderson, author of the long tail & Wired editor, ask the guy from Faroo on how the users benefit from allowing the web to be indexed from their PC’s. “I think it’s good for users because they’re using search together” – something got lost in translation here. I agree with Chris – it’s a bit wishy washy as a business model currently, either that, or I don’t understand what he is saying. Om Malik has a go at him – this is not going anywhere.

The Dunning-Kruger Effect and Search Engine Marketing

I got the inspiration for this post from Llew Claasen’s post on the newly launched Thought Leader portal in South Africa.

In the world of Pay Per Click & Search Engine Marketing, the Dunning-Kruger Effect is probably the most prominent phenomenon within the industry.  This is very true specifically of traditional advertising agencies who brand themselves as “PPC Experts”, who use 3rd party software in order to manage their clients campaigns.  The use of 3rd party tools is not a bad idea, and I endorse products such as SpeedPPC, when used by those who are capable of running their own campaigns.  The problem that arise from the use of 3rd party tools, is that it doesn’t allow the smart marketers to think outside the box and make code level modification that can enhance a client’s campaign, as you would with proprietary software.  Clicks2Customers has built a very powerful proprietary platform that is not available to 3rd parties (except clients), as they utilize it to enhance their existing client campaigns and constantly are improving the platform and keeping it in line with industry developments, something that is difficult when you’re servicing 3rd party needs.

The Dunning-Kruger experiment was accurately based on the following hypothesis:

Kruger and Dunning noted a number of previous studies which tend to suggest that in skills as diverse as reading comprehension, operating a motor vehicle, and playing chess or tennis, “ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge” (as Charles Darwin put it). They hypothesized that with a typical skill which humans may possess in greater or lesser degree,

  1. incompetent individuals tend to overestimate their own level of skill,
  2. incompetent individuals fail to recognize genuine skill in others,
  3. incompetent individuals fail to recognize the extremity of their inadequacy,
  4. if they can be trained to substantially improve their own skill level, these individuals can recognize and acknowledge their own previous lack of skill.

The CJU conference as always has been great,  but in listening to some of people here (including Ad Agencies), I realise more and more that there are people in this industry who’s campaigns rely on other people who have convinced them that they are “Expert Search Marketers” or Agencies, and these people are really victims of people infected by the Dunning-Kruger Effect.   I had to sit through at least 2 sessions with people who are so infected with the DK Effect, that I had to take anti-biotics!  These people actually believe their own bullsh*t!

After getting a new client, we often find that they were being duped by their previous agency who believed that they knew what they were doing, but unfortunately, were relying on software built by people who cannot run campaigns profitably.  In most cases, the goal is to spend budget, and not generate profitable sales.

I often come across DK’s (Dunning-Kruger infected people), who just don’t realise how incompetent they are.  Hell, I’ve worked with them in my companies, but unfortunately, the only solution is not telling them they are wrong, but either letting them make their own mistakes, or if they’re willing, assist them by training them.   This is often not possible though, as many of these DK’s suffer from the Lake Wobegon Effect, which basically is “the human tendency to overestimate one’s achievements and capabilities in relation to others”.  When DK’s have both the Lake Wobegon Effect & the Dunning-Kruger effect, what you then have on your hands is a big problem.

What’s my point?  The Search Engine Marketing industry is filled with Charlatans, DK’s and LW’s who haven’t got a clue of how to build and run a ROI positive search campaign.  Instead, you have big media companies that hire age old executives who have never logged into Adwords, and tell them to run teams of dozens or even hundreds of people and manage client campaigns using tools built by another company.  With overhead that high, the goals are not ROI or Sales, it’s spending budget, being in position #1, generating sales from head & brand words, writing down negative ROI to “Momentum Marketing (Social Network BS)” or “Branding”, and meeting targets in order to pay the bills.

I had a chat with the founder of a UK based SEM company, and asked him why he didn’t change his model to performance marketing, and not % of spend – his answer was that he simply would not make as much money. Ok – so instead, he spends clients money inefficiently in order to line their pockets – great idea! Are you also being duped?

How do we change things? Well, for one, stop paying agencies a % of spend – if they can’t make money on revenue share or performance basis, then look elsewhere. Otherwise, play a flat fee for monthly services.  Do not use agencies that use 3rd party software – it’s like driving a car made of second hand parts from other cars.

Lastly, knowledge is power – so if you’re in South Africa, sign up for our newly launched SEM courses at KeyJam.net (shameless plug! :-) )

CJU Session 2007 : Social Networking and the MySpace phenomenon

MySpace Session

Mark Papia from MySpace presents this session and starts off with a video of people telling us how addicted they are to MySpace.

His presentation is entitled “Never Ending Friending”. This presentation will be available online – I’ll get the link to it later – he is moving to fast to get the content down. I’ll just take some notes.

Ad spending on social networks is expected to reach around $865m in 2007, with MySpace taking up 60% of the revenues. There is a lot of market analysis published at Never Ending Friending .

Mark is basically pitching MySpace and obviously, Social Media in the process. He believes that the viral/word of mouth impact from the advertising campaigns leads to strong ROI, but not directly from the actual campaign itself. I’m skeptical :-)

He is going to Q & A now, time for some grilling…

CJU Session : The Pulse of the Affiliate Market

Rebecca Madiga

Rebecca Madigan from CJ presents this great session.  Unfortunately, I didn’t manage to get to blog the opening sessions – due to not being able to find a place to sit!  The room was packed!

Rebecca conducted interviews with Top Performing Publishers & Advertisers in order to provide content for this session.

Topics Covered:

  • Perspectives
  • Important Issues
  • Suggestions
  • Trends

1/3 international respondents

  •  Average of 10 Weeks to receive commission payment
  •  Up to 50% fees charges
  •  9 more countries added to direct bank transfer payouts

Advertiser Profile:

  • Average time in affiliate marketing : 4.8 years
  • Number of hours a week : 40
  • Percentage of time dedicated to Affiliate: 58%

Publisher Profile:

  • Average time in affiliate marketing : 8.5 years
  • Number of hours a week: 61.5
  •  Average ramp up to full time: 8.5 months
  • Biggest business threats:
    • Disinformation about the affiliate channel
    • Time

Publishers:  Selection criteria when choosing an Advertiser  (in order):

  1. Advertiser Response
  2. Brand
  3. Conversion Rate
  4. Deep Linking
  5. Commission
  6. Consumer Incentive
  7. Keyword Policy
  8. Product Feed
  9. Network
  10. Publisher Incentive

(Advertisers should consider consumer incentives, above publisher incentives for their program).

Advertiser:  Selection criteria when accepting Publishers (in order):

  1.  CJ Performer
  2. Vertical
  3. Geographic Location
  4. ( a few more that went past faster than I could type!!)

It’s very difficult to blog the rest of the session, as the camera man keeps switching my screen over to Rebecca, and not the slideshow!  I’ll try to put some notes down:

On the survey, almost everyone said that both the publisher & the merchant share the consumer.

“The consumer is married to the advertiser, but the publisher is her best friend” – comments from a loyalty site owner.

Partner Tip:

Advertiser :  Ad key target markets and program objectives in your advertiser detail page.   Send your promotional calendar and marketing plan to your top publishers and find mutual opportunities.

What’s next in the Affiliate Sector?

  •  Consolidation:  the big overtaking the small by acquisition or competition
    • Publishers, Advertisers, Networks
  • New tools to make it easier for consumers to choose & buy (e.g. web services), in new places to buy (e.g. Social Networks)
  • Increased demand for measurable results
  • Affiliate sector getting a bigger piece of the marketing pie
  • SEO growth
  • Everyone needs to ‘come clean’
  • Will cookies continue to be viable?
  • Affiliate is just beginning – lets do a better job at it!

Search Engine Marketing Training Course with KeyJam.net

I’m pleased to be able to announce that Llew Claasen (incuBeta co-founder) and myself have just launched a new company, KeyJam.net.  KeyJam.net is going to focus on delivering training courses and seminars in South Africa that will allow corporates, media & marketing companies, and SME’s to learn more about Search Engine Marketing.  Here is some media coverage on Biz-Community for the launch of the company late last week.

Our first set of courses will be around Search Engine Marketing Fundamentals, focusing on delivering the essentials knowledge that people need, in order to understand and become more effective search engine marketers.

We are expecting a lot of corporate demand for these courses, and spaces are limited, so book early if you’re interested (and get the discount!).   See you there!