Firstly, this post has nothing to do with incuBeta (which actually isn’t an Incubator!). I got this email from Nick Zaharias, brother of a friend of mine, Chris Zaharias. I had a good laugh, and hope you will too!
I don’t think we’re in a bubble, mainly because the Web 2.0 companies out there are mainly private and unlisted. The big guys are making money and spending it acquiring smaller companies, who’s cost of acquisition are almost insignificant in relation to their market caps. Regardless, it does become ridiculous when Incubators that incubate Incubators are born - it’s almost as sad as those people who are “Business Coaches” only because they can’t run their own businesses!
Anyways, here’s Nick’s email.
Hello. Hope you’re doing well. It’s me again and unfortunately, I am here today to rain on your parades, your fantasies, your business models, or your portfolios once again. It’s happening again and so I will put up or shut up as several of you said I must back in March of 2000.
First a little history……..In the lead up to March 2000, I saw a proliferation of signs that the end was nigh for web 1.0. Though painfully obvious at the time, hallucinations of the mass variety can exert quite a strong hold on one’s faculties - my RealNames IPO net-worth mental masturbation calculator stands as a testament to that fact. As the Launch-Party summer of 1999 became the Fall of RealNames withdrawn S-1 registration, I knew it was over and began to search for the perfect contra-indicator that would become that final stake in the ground upon which one could sell short the entire Nasdaq with impunity. To those of you copied on this email who were actively discussing tech stocks with me back then, you will remember those days well. To those of you who were not, welcome to Incubators that incubate Incubators, Part II.
One month before the march of 2000 Nasdaq crash I made an offhand, grabass comment to the effect that we’d know the top when a venture capital firm would fund an Incubator that would incubate other incubators, which in turn would incubate web start ups. I was really just talking trash as the idea was clearly too stupid for even the worst venture firm.
Fortunately, about two weeks before the crash, Bill Romans (who is once again a recipient of my usual blather via this email) sent me an email with a link to a CNET story describing just such an incubator that incubated other incubators, which in turn would incubate web start ups.
So that’s the history. So why do I bring this up today? Well, for those of you who haven’t noticed, web 2.0 has gotten pretty nuts again. Silly people, doing silly “socially-conscious” social networks. All sorts of crap. And to be honest, its really quite embarrassing. Lately i’ve found myself laughing at start-ups more than I ever have before. The names of these things…. I mean every time I read Arrington’s site I see names that sound as if they were made up by my 2 year old son’s play group. Its funny and sad at the same time.
So I’m reading the SF Chronicle this morning (which by the way, is seriously the world’s worst newspaper) only because I can’t read the web while I’m taking my morning doompha. And there it is - its happening all over again:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2007/05/30/MNGHPQ3PST1.DTL&type=tech
I’ve got to take my daughter to school now so I’m going to let you all read this article first before I explain why James Currier and his Ooga Labs *is 2007’s version of the flashing “Danger Will Robinson, Danger!” signal that we got in March of 2000 with incubators that incubate incubators, which in turn would incubate web start ups.
Talk to you soon,
Nick
p.s. and if you think I’m wrong, please tell me why.
* I have not looked up the names of the VCs who funded Ooga Labs, so apologies to any and all who may have funded this turd.
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Comments On This Post
June 1, 2007 at 2:15 pm
As long as you’re building a company with a strategic plan to become a profitable ongoing concern, and not building a company that has no revenue model and is designed to “enhance” the value of another company (read: get acquired before we run out of cash) then I don’t think you have to worry too much about bubbles. Interesting take on it though, there is some craziness happening, but I think keeping your head down and focusing on building a business and not worrying too much about the present environment is the way to deal with it.
June 1, 2007 at 4:15 pm
As long as you’re building a company with a strategic plan to become a profitable ongoing concern, and not building a company that has no revenue model and is designed to “enhance” the value of another company (read: get acquired before we run out of cash) then I don’t think you have to worry too much about bubbles. Interesting take on it though, there is some craziness happening, but I think keeping your head down and focusing on building a business and not worrying too much about the present environment is the way to deal with it.
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